DEEP STACKED POKER IN NO LIMIT HOLDEM PART 3
Author’s Note: I originally posted this on Texasholdemonline.com with this link: http://www.texasholdemonline.com/strategy/deep-play-thoughts-in-nlhe-part-3/ back in 2012. I have edited some parts to reflect some of the changes in the games. Either way, I believe that much of this still holds true.
Due to copyright issues, I have decided I would like to link each article here and write an amendment/what has changed since the original article was published. It has been quite some years and poker strategy has evolved immensely during this time. I will not post the original article here, but I recommend that you read the original article from the link (mainly because I do believe that the underlying strategies/article is still relevant today) and then read my amended notes below.
Please read article #2 here: http://orangepokerblog.com/2017/04/29/deep-stacked-poker-in-no-limit-holdem-part-2/
Turn Raises and River Leads
The Baluga Whale Theorem is an extremely old strategy theorem that (roughly) states: Anytime we have less than 2 pair, we should fold the turn to a raise (after we bet). Obviously there are exceptions to this and this theorem held a lot more weight in the past, when players overfolded on every single street. In today’s games, this theorem does not hold as true. Players are more apt to semi-bluff and pure bluff turns and rivers than in the past. On the flip side, players are also not folding as often, which makes the counter play to the Baluga Theorem (raising lots of turns) not as effective as it was in the past.
River leading is still an underused strategy (and by river leading, I mean river donk betting) as a bluff. I still think that this can be an effective line as a bluff today because regulars are still highly unbalanced when it comes to open donk leading the rivers (at least at smaller stakes).
You do not see the play of donk betting the river as much from regulars with value lines as you did in 2012- people realized that if a regular check/called for the flop and turn and then open shoved the river, he has a value hand a very large % of the time. Today, players will protect their range more and check the river with very strong hands in hopes to induce a bluff.
Overbetting and Blockers
Is more prevalent in today’s games than they were in 2012. On wetter boards, players today will play more of a 2 street game in NLHE and overbet one street. Furthermore, overbets are also more common in single raised pots on dynamic boards where future streets can drastically change the board and action.
Blockers are heavily used in today’s game and was not a huge consideration in 2012. Blockers were very common in PLO and have always been, but they are almost as widely considered in NLHE today. Blocking certain cards is heavily considered when deciding on specific frequencies for a play and can be the deciding factor in close decisions.
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